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Meta-analyses are no substitute for registered replications: a skeptical perspective on religious priming

机译:荟萃分析不能替代已注册的复制品:对宗教信仰的怀疑

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摘要

According to a recent meta-analysis, religious priming has a positive effect on prosocial behavior (Shariff et al., 2015). We first argue that this meta-analysis suffers from a number of methodological shortcomings that limit the conclusions that can be drawn about the potential benefits of religious priming. Next we present a re-analysis of the religious priming data using two different meta-analytic techniques. A Precision-Effect Testing-Precision-Effect-Estimate with Standard Error (PET-PEESE) meta-analysis suggests that the effect of religious priming is driven solely by publication bias. In contrast, an analysis using Bayesian bias correction suggests the presence of a religious priming effect, even after controlling for publication bias. These contradictory statistical results demonstrate that meta-analytic techniques alone may not be sufficiently robust to firmly establish the presence or absence of an effect. We argue that a conclusive resolution of the debate about the effect of religious priming on prosocial behavior - and about theoretically disputed effects more generally - requires a large-scale, preregistered replication project, which we consider to be the sole remedy for the adverse effects of experimenter bias and publication bias.
机译:根据最近的一项荟萃​​分析,宗教启动对亲社会行为有积极影响(Shariff等人,2015)。我们首先认为,这种荟萃分析存在许多方法学缺陷,这些缺陷限制了可以得出的有关宗教启蒙的潜在好处的结论。接下来,我们介绍使用两种不同的元分析技术对宗教启动数据进行的重新分析。带有标准误差的精确效果测试-精确效果-估计(PET-PEESE)荟萃分析表明,宗教启蒙的影响仅由出版偏见驱动。相比之下,使用贝叶斯偏倚校正的分析表明,即使在控制了出版偏倚之后,也存在宗教引发效应。这些矛盾的统计结果表明,单独的荟萃分析技术可能不足以牢固地确定效应的存在与否。我们认为,关于宗教启动对亲社会行为的影响以及更广泛的理论争议影响的辩论的结论性解决,需要大规模的预先注册的复制项目,我们认为这是对宗教不利影响的唯一补救措施实验者偏见和出版偏见。

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